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Why Did the Crime Rate Decrease Through 1999? (And Why Might It Decrease or Increase in 2000 and Beyond?): A Literature Review and Critical Analysis

A critical review of articles that try to explain why crime rates have decreased and why increases will likely occur again in the near future is provided. In addition to an executive summary, this report contains four sections: introduction; descriptive statistics for the crime rate based on Uniform Crime Reporting (UCR); reasons advanced for the recent decrease in the crime rate, with commentary and conclusions; and a qualitative model to explain the recent decline in the crime rate. Accession Number: 016837

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